Super Thursday Results

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Former Vice President Joe Biden has taken the lead in the delegate count in the Democratic Party nomination race over Senator Bernie Sanders.

The next vote will be on March 10th. But right now it looks like none of the candidates will have the 1991 delegate majority needed to win the nomination without the Superdelegates voting.

This is of course the nail in the coffin of Senator Sanders’ hope at getting the nomination by delegate count. The DNC will not give the nomination to someone who isn’t really a member of the Democratic Party. And the establishment choice is Mr. Biden.

So here is my early congratulations to Mr. Biden, the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States in the 2020 election.

The question becomes who will be Biden’s running mate. And will Senator Sanders again submit to the DNC choice like he did in 2016 or will he run as an independent candidate for President with his supporters.

2020 will be an interesting election for sure. A three-way race would be something to talk about. But I’m just going to go ahead and congratulate President Trump on winning the election to his 2nd term as President of the United States.

How the Votes will add up

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We are early in the caucus/primary season for the Democratic Party. This is the beginning of how the party chooses it’s delegates and eventual nominee for president this summer. The delegates are locked into their assigned candidate, at least on the 1st round of voting during the summer convention.

To win the Democratic Party nomination the candidate needs to get 1991 delegates/votes. If this happens on the 1st round of voting due to the results of the caucuses and primaries then that candidate did extremely well. However, it doesn’t look like that is going to happen just yet.

Senator Bernie Sanders is doing well. He is getting about 1/3 of the available delegates in each contest. While the remaining delegates get split up between all of the other candidates that are running. If this rate holds through the entire caucus/primary season then Senator Sanders wont have enough delegates/votes to win in the 1st round. He will be over 650 delegate/votes short of that goal.

In the 2nd round of voting, the powerful block of Democratic superdelegates are able to vote. They are not locked into any one candidate. This powerful block gives 771 votes. But right now Senator Bernie Sanders is only supported by 23 of them. Still not enough to win the nomination.

The regular delegates will have to be freed from their pre-assigned voting block before there is a clear winner. And it might not be Senator Sanders. There will be backroom deals cut during the convention so there is a strong enough block of delegates supporting one candidate to get the nomination. When it comes down to the delegates and deals at a convention the nomination is wide open. Even the 5th place loser can become the winner.

I am predicting it wont be Senator Sanders. He isn’t really a Democratic Party member, he always runs as an independent for this Senate seat. He does have a strong following of useful idiots that don’t know why or who everything is free but they like it. But that wont be enough for Bernie to win the nomination. The Democratic Party base still has a strong moderate lean to it. And a hardcore Socialist rubs them the wrong way.