As we move into the last primary of May, Donald Trump is just 68 delegates short of the 1237 needed to have the nomination all wrapped up before the convention in July. It includes today’s (May 24th) primary and the last primaries on June 7th. There are 347 delegates available. It should be an easy win for The Donald.
But as the saying goes, ‘the opera isn’t over until the fat lady sings.’ In this case that “opera” is the Republican National Convention in Cleveland. And the “fat lady” is the first round voting where the delegates are bound to vote according to their state’s popular vote.
One would think it would be a formality. Donald Trump will have the delegates and therefore should have the nomination. But other forces are at work in this election cycle that would like to change that outcome.
The “establishment” doesn’t want a nominee or President that cannot be bought or controlled by the party’s string pullers. And Donald Trump is the only candidate out of the 17 that holds that distinction. Not being able to pull those strings leads to a questionable future for these establishment insiders. They would be in danger of loosing their jobs and power.
Then there is the #CruzCrew faction of the GOP that believes in the Holy Cruzade of their cult leader Ted Cruz. And Ted Cruz has stated since the beginning that he would do anything to win. For the #CruzCrew, the ends do justify the means.
We saw him lie his way to a victory in the First-in-the-Nation Iowa Caucuses. By spreading a false rumor against Dr. Ben Carson’s campaign. He attempted to cheat John Kasich in Indiana by having Kasich supporters vote for Cruz instead. This backfired on the Senator causing him to “suspend” his campaign. And in lawyer-speak that will be used to reassert his candidacy at the convention.
Ted Cruz has courted the delegates in many states, even before his campaign was suspended. He has not endorsed Mr Trump. He is keeping alive his own bid still for the White House. Silently waiting until the convention.
I have not attended a GOP convention or meeting where someone has not attempted to change the rules. And the National Convention will not be an exception.
I firmly believe and predict that the Cruz faction will attempt to change the rules at this year’s convention. They will attempt to remove the bound delegates so they can freely vote against the will of the people in the first round. Thus changing the nominee from Donald Trump to Ted Cruz.
Those in the Cruz camp will do this because they mistakenly believe that this action will unify the party behind Ted Cruz. And it will lead to a victory for the Republican Party in November. Both of these thoughts are out of touch with the voters. It will lead to the death of the Republican Party and a Democrat victory if allowed to happen.