The 3rd Party Question

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The anti-Trump Republicans and Independents are looking for a 3rd Party alternative in the November election. Their goal is to force the election into the hands of the Republican controlled US House of Representatives by preventing any nominee from getting 270 electoral votes. This is a lofty goal, but possible in this election cycle.

Those leading this movement have singled out 3 top contenders for the 3rd Party nomination. Senator Ben Sasse, former Senator Tom Coburn, and former Governor Mitt Romney.

Former Senator Tom Coburn has already stated he is not interested in running as a 3rd Party candidate. This leaves the movement with the other 2 potentials.

It is important to note that Senator Ted Cruz is not in this list. This leads to many questions. Is Ted Cruz going to support Donald Trump as the nominee? Is Ted Cruz going to attempt to change the rules at the convention to win the nomination himself? Or is Ted Cruz going to start his own 3rd Party bid for the presidency? These and other questions remain unanswered for now.

The remaining 2 top picks for the 3rd Party run are very different men, not only from each other but also from the presumptive nominees of the Republican and Democrat parties.

First is the junior Senator Ben Sasse from Nebraska. The very thing that was used to attack both Obama’s presidency and Marco Rubio’s campaign seems not to matter for Senator Sasse (or Cruz for that matter.) Another untested freshman junior senator is hardly what the country needs again at it’s helm.

Of course when it’s “your guy” his faults are overlooked. Even if they are exactly the same reason you opposed another candidate as in the case of Marco Rubio and President Obama.

And the last potential 3rd Party runner up is former Governor Mitt Romney. He was the GOP nominee just 4 years ago and lost to Obama’s reelection bid. So already he doesn’t have a good track record.

Mitt Romney lost in 2012 for 2 reasons. The first strike against him was his connection to “ObamaCare”. It was Governor Mitt Romney that created it’s forerunner “RomneyCare” while he was at the helm of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. The other is Mitt Romney is not an evangelical Christian. He is a member of the Mormon Church, seen by many evangelicals as a false teaching and a cult. Thus many evangelicals stayed home in 2012 which caused Mitt Romney to loose the election.

But now the evangelicals who rejected Romney just 4 years ago are welcoming him with open arms as their 3rd Party nominee choice. These 3rd Party pushers are nothing but hypocrites. They are not voting for their moral convictions. They are not voting for the Constitution or the principles of Liberty. No, they are voting to keep their own power, wealth, and influence on American politics and public policy.

They are evil and corrupt. No better than Hillary Clinton or any other wolf in sheep’s clothing. The need to be excised from the political landscape. They are responsible for turning our political process into the cesspool most see it as today.

3rd Parties don’t work in our 2 party system. You can always change which 2 parties are in control by changing how they do business. But that change always has come from within the parties and not from outside of the parties.

2 man race

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Looking over the numbers for delegates needed and available for the GOP nomination. This really is a two-man race between Trump and Cruz. The majority of the remaining delegates are in winner-take-all states.

Kasich has no chance at all in this race. Even if he wins his home state of Ohio. That’s only 66 more delegates. He would finally break over 100 at that point. But to win the nomination he needs 1,183 more delegates out of the 1,435 remaining delegates. Kasich would have to win all of the 17 winner-take-all states and the majority of the remaining states. So Kasich needs a miracle to win at this point.

Rubio is doing better than Kasich. But he too would need the 99 delegates from his home state of Florida and the rest of the winner-take-all states just like Kasich. Rubio has a better chance than Kasich but its still a long-shot. And not a bet I would take.

Cruz, the only contender to Trump, is going to have to sweep the winner-take-all states as well. He needs 878 delegates to get the nomination. 898 are available in the 17 winner-take-all states. Cruz will fall short if he doesn’t get all of these states. He just doesn’t have enough delegates at this point.

Trump on the other hand has the winning cards right now. He is ahead in delegates and by popular vote as well. But he still needs 779 more delegates to get the nomination. If Trump can get the majority of the proportional states and half of the winner-take-all states he can win the nomination. Given Trump’s current record this is very much a possibility.

With all four candidates in the race up to the GOP convention it is highly likely that Donald Trump will be that nominee.

Why I support Donald Trump

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It is more and more looking like Donald J. Trump will be the GOP nominee for President of the United States in 2016. A champion to stop the tide of destruction that has come upon our Great Republic. I personally like The Donald and I supported him in the first-in-the-nation Iowa Caucus. The reasons are simple.

I am not politically correct. Only two candidates have ever talked about the PC dangers in our society. The Donald and Dr Ben Carson, whom I also like as a candidate.

I find Donald Trump to be an honest man. Even with his billions, he is approachable by the common man. There is a connection not felt with the other candidates. He has changed his views on a number of issues, but so have I over the years as I have matured.

Donald Trump is a leader of men but he is not a boss of men. He seeks out advise from those that know more or better than he does. And he listens to that advise as well. Although the buck does stop with him.

He has stated many times that he would hire the other GOP candidates on stage with him in his administration if elected. Another good sign there and one shared with Gov Mike Huckabee before his campaign ended. None of the other candidates have stated that. So it’s not about the power and shows humility.

Trump says he is a Christian. And I believe he believes he is a Christian. For far too long most Christian’s in America are of the “Sunday” variety. They go to Church on Sunday and at Easter and Christmas and believe that is all that is necessary. But that is really just the first step in many to being a believer. And I am not going to deny Donald my support because of it. In fact I will give him my prayers as well so he can become born-again as a believer.

So I cannot support Marco Rubio. Like Obama, he is a young and inexperienced. He hasn’t raised a teenager at home yet. How can he withstand crisis from without when he has never had one within. It is not Marco Rubio’s time. Maybe in 2020 or 2024 he can run again for the highest office.

The State of Florida sent Rubio to the Senate. But he has consistently missed votes while campaigning for President. If he can’t do the job he was sent to do, why should he get a promotion?

I also cannot support Rafael Edward “Ted” Cruz. Ted Cruz professes to be a born-again Evangelical Christian. And with that I hold him to a higher standard and expect him to behave as he claims.

He, his national campaign staff, and his local campaign staff and supporters have consistently behaved in an unChristian like manner. Ted Cruz and his staff and supporters have lied and cheated there way to a victory in Iowa. Fortunately other states have not been hoodwinked by those lies.

Ted Cruz’s treatment of Mike Huckabee at his Kim Davis Rally was also appalling. And a direct violation of “thou shalt not covet.”

Senator Cruz, his staff, and followers all say “look at me, we are the righteous and the religious among you so you should vote Cruz if you are too”. They are the scribes and Pharisees of today.

What the Cruz campaign did in Iowa to Dr Ben Carson was a dirty play. And his staff has boasted that they would do “anything to win”. These are not Christian values and ethics at work. And to have such a play come from the highest level of the campaign shows that the corruption goes to the very root of Ted Cruz core and character.

And most recently we have Steve Deace, a national radio personality, tweeting out false Trump quotes to his followers. Some believing them to be real quotes. And Steve Deace does nothing to prevent that from happening. In fact that is his goal. Another unChristian activity and one that bears false witness.

Lastly the other candidates I cannot currently support as they do not have the momentum to carry them to the nomination. And unless there is a miracle for them on SuperTuesday they should bow out of the race and leave it up to the 3 front runners.

I will state that I will support the GOP nominee if it is Donald Trump or someone else. Even if I currently do not support them. Any of the GOP candidates is better for the future of this Great Republic than Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders.

If You Break It…

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Former Senator and 1996 Republican Presidential candidate Bob Dole recently endorsed Marco Rubio, saying Rubio “wants to grow the party unlike [Ted] Cruz.” Dole went on to say in National Review:

We have to have a nominee, Republicans, who can bring the party together and reach out to moderates and independents and not just the far right-wing.

Although this is an admirable goal on paper, it hasn’t really worked out so well. Since Ronald Reagan, moderate Republicans won 3 out of the past 7 Presidential elections (which Dole should know considering he was one of the moderates who lost the Presidency). And the moderates who won? They both had the last name “Bush.”

Republican leadership loves to talk about attracting moderates and independents, but it tries to do it by acting more like Democrats. In a battle between real Democrats and Democrat Lite, the real Democrats will always win because they are the genuine article. Or at least as genuine as current Democrats can be.

So, this begs the question of why Republicans keep trying to be Democrat Lite when they keep losing Presidential elections using that approach. Say what you will about Ted Cruz, but he stands for something. Whether you agree with that something is immaterial to the point I’m trying to make. In fact, the rise of Donald Trump can be linked to the growing disappointment with how quickly Republican leadership rolls over for Democrats.

That’s right, kids. Trump is a monster created by…the squishiness of Republicans like Bob Dole. Of course, they won’t admit it, but they don’t need to.

But here’s the other thing Dole and his cohorts are missing. How many people would be willing to vote Republican if the GOP started acting like Republicans again? I have been greatly disappointed in Republicans in recent years because it seems most of the leadership seems to be ashamed to stand for the conservative/libertarian position. Perhaps it’s because they have spines of Jello, or maybe they’re afraid of what the media would say about them if they dared to challenge the Leftist narrative.

Guess what, kids. The media don’t care. They will continue to say whatever they want, regardless of whether it resembles the truth. Why try to curry favor with that nest of vipers? On the off chance they’ll say something nice about you (which usually only happens when these Republicans attack the ones taking a stand)?

It’s moderate Republicans like Bob Dole who broke the GOP, and unless grassroots Republicans stop settling, the party will be broken for elections to come.

Grading the Candidates

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The Des Moines Register had an online scorecard to find out who one should support in the upcoming caucus. Even though I am fairly decided already, I thought I would take the quiz to see where my candidates stand.

This is of course just using the information provided in the Des Moines Register. Well known for not being kind to the conservative movement or the Republican party.

There are 9 issues and several parts to each. And you must agree or disagree with the candidates position listed. In some cased the candidate has no position listed. I will admit on these I generally gave the candidate the benefit of the doubt, but not always.

Here are my results (out of a possible score of 900)

Cruz: 830
Huckabee: 836
Carson: 786
Trump: 746
Fiorina: 696
Paul: 690
Santorum: 608
Rubio: 561
Christie: 546
Kasich: 363
Bush: 307
Sanders: 114
Clinton: 14
O’Malley: 0

Using a standard % grading scale. Cruz and Huckabee have A’s. Carson and Trump have B’s. Fiorina and Paul have C’s. Santorum, Rubio, and Christie have D’s. And the rest all have F’s.

Now these points/grades are just based alone on the Des Moines Register’s questions and information. Nothing of my own from speaking with, hearing the candidates during the debate, prayer about the candidates and gut instinct. That does change the grade.