We the People, in Cleveland

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Both major parties will have their conventions this month and formally name their party’s nominees. For the Democrats, this will most likely be Hillary Clinton. And for the Republicans, the presumptive nominee is Donald Trump.

On the Democratic side, Clinton’s only rival, Bernie Sanders has not yet endorsed her. And his followers are young, strong, and dislike Clinton. Bernie could drop the “D” and run as an independent candidate. Voting for or even endorsing Hillary Clinton will only prove that Bernie’s “revolution” was a lie to sway voters.

With the Republican side, there is the faction that wants to destroy itself and the party by denying Donald Trump his well earned nomination. These #neverTrump’ers as they call themselves want the GOP to fail. All so they can save face and say “I told you so.” They are really out for themselves and not the party, the people of the United States, or the voters.

Keep in mind that we have a republic. It’s not just our Congressmen and Senators that are to represent our interests as “we the people.” No, our delegates are also are duly elected representatives at the party level. They too are to represent the people who elected them. And the people of the Republican Party of the United States have clearly stated that they want Donald Trump to be the GOP nominee for President.

This notion of “freeing” the delegates is just as unethical as your congressman going to Washington and voting against everything you believe in. This would be a terrible mistake to allow the delegates to become unbound at the convention. Just ask King George III about how “we the people” felt about not being properly represented.

The Deal

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If you can’t tell by now with my political posts I’m going to spell it out fully. I firmly support Donald J. Trump for President of the United States. I cast my first vote for him during the Iowa caucus.

I am a County, District, and State delegate. I ran for election as an Alternate National Delegate during the District convention. If the opportunity arises at the State convention next month in May, I will again place myself in nomination for the position.

Donald Trump has what it takes to beat the Clinton political machine. I don’t think Ted Cruz has that ability. It would be a very tough fight for him. And after 8 years of Obama, I don’t want to take that chance.

Donald Trump’s ideas on foreign policy are right on. The United States shouldn’t be bending over backwards to appease any other power on Earth. Our military needs to be 2nd to none. And ready to defend our nation at a moments notice. He will bring back the Peace through Superior Firepower motto. And we must be a sovereign nation, with boarders that cannot be crossed illegally by anyone or by any means.

I will admit, like other conservatives who support Donald Trump, that his stances on some social issues are not as desirable as I would like them. But Ted Cruz isn’t going to fight the Supreme Court on same-sex marriage. He has stated over and over again that he believes such issues are up to the states or the Supreme Court to decide. He talks the lawyer speak to make it sound like he is going to defend social issues. Don’t believe it for a minute.

One of the greatest strengths for Donald Trump is that he is coach-able. Although he would make the decisions as he should being the Commander-in-Chief. He does listen to and take advise from others. Where as Ted Cruz is a one-man show. As clearly demonstrated with his failed so-called deal with John Kasich.

It Donald Trump a Christian? Sure he is, just like a lot of Christians in this country. They go to church on Sunday and think that is all it takes. But I don’t think he is truly a born-again believer. It doesn’t show in his actions and words. He would not be the first President to be such and certainly wont be the last either. We are not a Theocracy after all. Donald behaves as I expect from a non-believer.

Ted Cruz professes to be a born-again believer. But he too behaves as a non-believer would behave. And since he claims to be a believer, I hold him to that higher standard and he fails to reach it. As for the Cruz supporters, some are just hoodwinked. Others who profess to be believers as well, show no signs of it either. They talk of their righteousness like the Pharisees of old.

As with all the candidates in this election cycle. I don’t agree with any one of them 100% of the time. After all I’m not running for President. But Donald Trump has more positives than negatives. And is the best candidate who can defeat Hillary Clinton in November.

So when June comes around and the RNC has it’s National Convention. They delegates there will choose the GOP Nominee. I pray that it is Donald Trump. But unlike those cultists that follow Cruz. I will support the nominee, even if it is not Donald Trump.

The GOP must win the White House in November. Every vote counts. If you don’t believe that look at the 2012 presidential vote where certain members of the GOP stayed home because they did not want to vote for a Mormon who created RomneyCare.

Instead of being #NeverTrump become #NeverHillary. United the GOP can save our nation from the fate that awaits it if Hillary Clinton becomes President.

Running Mate

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To announce a running mate before securing the nomination is generally a bad move. This holds true in both major parties. History will repeat itself. On Wednesday Ted Cruz announced that Carly Fiorina would be his vice president. This is of course if he wins the nomination and the election. Both are unlikely at this point.

Almost immediately after Carly Fiorina dropped out of the presidential race herself she endorsed Ted Cruz. I always wondered why she did that. During her campaign she never had anything nice to say about Ted Cruz. It was a bit of a surprise when the endorsement came. But now we can see why. She gets the VP spot should they win.

Does Carly know or even care that Ted Cruz is just using her? Ted Cruz is a political pimp and Carly is now his girl. To be used as he sees fit. And discarded when no longer useful. Does she even care? Or is she, just like her master Cruz, a seeker of power for powers sake?

As for Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina is but a tool. One that he has now in desperation plugged into his failing campaign. She is to be used in the Indiana effort to block Donald Trump’s coming victory in that state. She is to be used as his token woman. The flip side of the Hillary Clinton coin to garner support of women. And since she is a native Californian, Ted hopes to gain delegates from her connection in the Golden State’s primary. But that’s just California dreamin’.

In truth, Carly Fiorina will do little to help Ted Cruz’s campaign. Her views on a number of subjects makes my skin crawl. She is hardly one in support of Liberty. If she were VP or even President. She would have further forced the issue between Apple and the FBI. Siding with the FBI. She made it very clear during her own campaign that our 4th Amendment Rights were revocable for the security of the nation. Her campaign failed against Donald Trump. Ted Cruz’s campaign is failing against Donald Trump. Tag teaming The Donald isn’t a winning move.

Stacking the Deck

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There is a lot of confusion this election cycle when it comes to choosing the Republican nominee for President. We have a lot of first time participants and candidates this time around. So I hope this can clear up some confusion.

Remember that our government and political structure is that of a republic. We are not a direct democracy. The people vote for other people who will represent them. The popular vote in the caucus and primaries isn’t to determine the winner. It’s determine who will represent the people.

The delegates to the National Convention are chosen by and from the delegates at the State and District Conventions. And those delegates are chosen by and from the County Convention delegates, who are in turn elected by those attending the local caucus. In a primary state, there would be a slight difference of course.

The RNC sets the rules that the state parties must follow. This cycles rules were that delegates to the National Convention would be bound by the votes during the caucus or primary. How many rounds of voting are binding is up to the states. For most it’s just the 1st round, for others it can and is higher.

In the case of Colorado, they didn’t have a vote during the caucus, so no delegates were bound by vote. The delegates were bound by other criteria during their District and State Conventions.

This is where Donald Trump made his biggest error in the campaign. Once the voting was done at the caucus or primary, he pulled out of that state. It’s easy to understand why. Donald Trump isn’t a politician, he is a business man. In business once the board votes, it’s a done deal. But this is not true in politics at all. There is still a lot of dealing to be done after the vote. This is to secure delegates who will vote for your nomination in all rounds if possible.

Ted Cruz on the other hand is a born politician. He wants the presidency more than anything else. He stayed in those states in force to covet the delegates to his favor. If he can’t win on the 1st round, he will take it in the 2nd round at the National Convention.

Donald Trump only has 2 options. Come into the National Convention with the needed 1237 bound delegates. This will secure the nomination on the 1st and only round. Or attempt a rules change before the nomination voting begins. The first option is the best of course as a rules change can cause more problems.

For Ted Cruz, he has no chance of coming into the National Convention with the needed 1237 bound delegates. His plan is that Donald Trump wont have the needed delegates either and win on 2nd round ballot when the majority of the delegates become unbound. Failing that, he might also attempt a rules change before the voting. He could hope to unbound the delegates on the 1st round of voting even if Trump has the 1237 delegates. Or his chosen delegates could just vote for him on the 1st round anyway, breaking the rules.

In my experience attending multiple County, District, and State Conventions. Rules change attempts happen all the time. Most are shot down. So an attempt can very well be made. And it’s possible for it to pass.

Ted Cruz has been stacking the deck with his delegates. This gives him a good edge if there is a 2nd round vote. It can also help him if there is a motion to change the rules in his favor.

These are both plans that Ted Cruz and his team are considering. If I was in his position, I would make similar plans. Either way he can get the nomination if these plans work in his favor. And his odds are good since he has courted the delegates.

Mathematically Out

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When it reached the point that it became mathematically impossible for John Kasich to win the GOP nomination he was told such by Ted Cruz. Senator Cruz advised Kasich to drop out and he could find a place for him in the Cruz Administration.

If Ted Cruz was, as he claims, a man of honor and principles. That he can be “TrusTed”. Then Senator Cruz, who is now mathematically unable to win the GOP nomination should take the high road and drop out.

Despite Ted’s failings Donald Trump will forgive him. And will have a place for him in the Trump Administration. There is a spot or two where he would do very well.

But you cannot really trust Ted. He will not do the right thing. He will not do what he asks of others to do, because Ted Cruz covets the presidency.

And following the advise of his father, Ted Cruz will do anything to get the presidency. For him the ends DO justify the means.

It seems the rules only apply to those who stand in the way of Ted Cruz.

2 man race

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Looking over the numbers for delegates needed and available for the GOP nomination. This really is a two-man race between Trump and Cruz. The majority of the remaining delegates are in winner-take-all states.

Kasich has no chance at all in this race. Even if he wins his home state of Ohio. That’s only 66 more delegates. He would finally break over 100 at that point. But to win the nomination he needs 1,183 more delegates out of the 1,435 remaining delegates. Kasich would have to win all of the 17 winner-take-all states and the majority of the remaining states. So Kasich needs a miracle to win at this point.

Rubio is doing better than Kasich. But he too would need the 99 delegates from his home state of Florida and the rest of the winner-take-all states just like Kasich. Rubio has a better chance than Kasich but its still a long-shot. And not a bet I would take.

Cruz, the only contender to Trump, is going to have to sweep the winner-take-all states as well. He needs 878 delegates to get the nomination. 898 are available in the 17 winner-take-all states. Cruz will fall short if he doesn’t get all of these states. He just doesn’t have enough delegates at this point.

Trump on the other hand has the winning cards right now. He is ahead in delegates and by popular vote as well. But he still needs 779 more delegates to get the nomination. If Trump can get the majority of the proportional states and half of the winner-take-all states he can win the nomination. Given Trump’s current record this is very much a possibility.

With all four candidates in the race up to the GOP convention it is highly likely that Donald Trump will be that nominee.